docFinder alert PLS PLS
Week of March 19, 2012Volume 2, No. 14

Marcellus Today: $2.30 gas and $107 Oil

In Focus - SW Pennsylvania Liquids Rich Core today, 2014 ramp for gas

Slide

Antero : Rich Gas Area

March 2, 2012


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Slide

Range : Super Rich Area

March 5, 2012


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As concerns over short term gas prices grow, this docFinder Alert takes a look at the Marcellus. With oil north of $100, the wet gas area is very economic.  In the dry gas areas, however, companies are managing their programs prudently. Marcellus dry gas is a top gas area in terms of size and boasts strong comparative economics to other gas resource plays. 

Above left is a great slide from privately-held Antero Resources which shows the rich gas window in the southwestern Marcellus along with the land positions of various key industry players. In the rich gas area (1050 to 1350 Btu gas), Antero has 1,350 drilling locations.  Based on 1150 Btu gas, 9.0 Bcf EUR, $7 MM well costs, the breakeven (defined at pre-tax 10% ROR) is $1.17.  Antero currently has 6 rigs running.

Above right Range Resources further highlights a super-rich Marcellus area in SW Pennsylvania with 1,350 Btu or higher wet gas.  EURs here are 400 Mbbls (95 Mbbls oil + 305 Mbbls NGLs) and 3.9 Bcf.  D&C well costs are $4.7MM.  ROR's at a $3.00 NYMEX are 77%. Range is spending 86% of its $1.6 billion 2012 budget in the Marcellus - 63% in the southwest portion, 23% in the northeast portion. 

In addition to Antero and Range, this docFinder Alert highlights other Marcellus companies including ChevronEQT Corp., Anadarko and midstream player MarkWest Energy Partners LP.

 

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featured.slides from docFinder

Slide Slide Slide Slide

Chevron

700,000 acres

 

March 13, 2012

EQT

9.0 Bcf Core Defined

 

March 12, 2012

Anadarko 

2014 Roadmap

 

March 13, 2012

MarkWest Energy

Play Rankings

 

March 7, 2012

Chevron owns 700,000 acres in the Marcellus,   ~180,000 of which are in the wet gas window. CVX made a major move into the Marcellus with its $4.3B buy of Atlas Energy in Nov. 2010, with another $1.6B spent in May 2011 for acreage from Chief Oil & Gas.  At current prices, CVX is pursuing the play at a "measured pace".  In Q4 2011, CVX had 10 rigs in the play and in early March had ramped down to 6 rigs.  Driving CVX today is building internal capabilities to intersect a more robust gas market.

Leading Appalachian E&P company EQT has 530,000 Marcellus acres. Slide above shows the core 9.0 Bcf area along with a defined 6.4 Bcf area. In the core, EQT owns 162,000 acres with 1,330 drilling locations. Using type curve parameters of 7.3 Bcfe EUR and$6.7 MM well costs, EQT presents after-tax returns of 43% at $4.00 gas.  At $3.00 returns remain positive. EQT plans to drill ~135 wells in 2012 (up from ~115 in 2011) and recently had 3 rigs running.

At a recent investor conference, Anadarko gave a series of presentations, including a view of gas price to 2017.  In the Marcellus, termed the lowest-cost gas play in the U.S., APC's EUR is 8 Bcf and the company has 5,000+ drill sites on 760K gross (260K net) acres.  As the slide above shows, APC is planning on running 13 rigs in 2012 to drill 200+ wells (based on $3.25 gas).  APC is sees a 2014 Marcellus drilling ramp up in concert with gas price recovery when its Marcellus program increases 9X.

Midstream player MarkWest Energy Partners, LP is a leader in the NE U.S shale plays.  In the Marcellus (Liberty), MWE is building midstream capability, incl. ethane cracking support, to handle in excess of 1.7 Bcf/d. Ethane cracking will provide Marcellus operators another economic boost. The slide above shows comparative play economics.  The wet gas Marcellus area (SW Pennsylvania) ranks #1. Central and NE Pennsylvania rank #4 and #5, respectively. 

 

 

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featured.transactions from PLS global M&A database

DateHeadlineValue
03/21/12Parallel Energy Trust acquires remaining 41% in W. Panhandle from Bravo$189 MM
03/19/12Williams Partners acquires Marcellus midstream business of Caiman Energy$2,500 MM
03/19/12QR Energy acquires 1,178 BOE/d ArkLaTex low decline oil assets$230 MM
03/15/12Atlas Resources acquires Barnett Shale assets from Carrizo$190 MM

Source: PLS M&A Database

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