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Week of March 12,2012Volume 2, No. 13

Stock Winners YTD - U.S. E&Ps

Callon, Goodrich lead with returns > 35% already

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Callon Petroleum: Up 40%

February 21, 2012


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Goodrich Petroleum: Up 38%

March 5, 2012


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As we near the end of the first quarter, PLS looks at U.S. E&P stocks that have been winners for investors in 2012 thus far. Callon Petroleum and Goodrich Petroleum have outperformed peers in 2012, achieving equity returns greater than 35% YTD already. 

Callon, historically focused on the Gulf of Mexico, has rather quietly built a 24,000 acre Permian position (100% operated) since 2009. In the Permian, Callon has mostly drilled into the prolific Wolfberry, with 59 wells to date and a 2011 exit rate of 1,300 Boepd and recently expanded o the horizontal Wolfcamp play. Callon has been rewarded by Wall Street for its financial stability, liquids focus and reserve growth. 

Goodrich was an incredible stock in 2007, as the firm's Bethany-Longstreet field in the Haynesville was one of the top, if not the top, U.S. onshore plays. As gas prices fell, so did Goodrich's stock price. Since mid-2010, Goodrich has done a commendable job transitioning its portfolio towards oil & liquids. The company's main focus now is the Eagle Ford  where it is spending $175 million of its $250 million capex budget. Goodrich continues to drill into its core Haynesville play, as well as newly tested formations in the area (Angelina River, Bossier, Taylor Sand), and has added an 80,200 acre position in the Tuscaloosa Marine oil shale play.

Callon & Goodrich aren't the only winners thus far this year.  A strong stock market in general, coupled with strong oil prices, has seen investors flock to oil weighted E&Ps. Below are slides from additional high performers: Continental, Cimarex, Denbury and Magnum Hunter.  

 

2012 YTD Top U.S. E&P Stock Performers - as of 03/15/12

CompanyExchange:TickerMarket Cap
($MM)
$/Share
01/01/12
$/Share
03/15/12
% Change
Callon PetroleumNYSE:CPE$273$4.97$6.9440%
Goodrich PetroleumNYSE:GDP$688$13.73$18.9138%
Continental ResourcesNYSE:CLR$15,723$66.71$87.5131%
Cimarex EnergyNYSE:XEC$6,874$61.90$80.2130%
Denbury ResourcesNYSE:DNR$7,397$15.10$19.1727%
Magnum Hunter ResourcesNYSE:MHR$884$5.39$6.6724%

 

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Continental:  Up 31%

 

February 27, 2012

Cimarex: Up 30%

 

March 1, 2012

Denbury: Up 27%

 

March 14, 2012


Magnum Hunter: Up 24%


March 7, 2012

Continental's stock has almost doubled since an Oct. 2011 price of just below $50/share. The markets are applauding the drilling performance in the Bakken where 80% of CLR's nearly 1MM acres has been de-risked. CLR is "ahead of plan" with a drill bit growth strategy plus tight operations and capital discipline. Outside the Bakken, CLR is in the Cana Woodford liquids-rich and oil fairways where and has over 3,000 locations based on 80 acre spacing. 

Cimarex's stock has been a rocket recently as the markets applaud its moves in the Permian basin.  XEC will be spending $1.4 to $1.6 billion in 2012 with "essentially all" directed to Permian and Mid-Continent oil and liquids-rich plays. In the Permian, XEC will be drilling multiple Delaware basin projects, including the Bone Spring / Avalon / Wolfcamp plays.The Mid-Continent focus is on development of its Cana Woodford play with infill drilling up to 9 wells per section. 

Denbury Resources' oil assets are thriving in times of good oil prices. DNR is the purest oil play in its peer group and has EOR exposure to up to 10 billion bbls of oil. As an example of the profits to made, DNR cites results of oil recoveries by field stage (as a % of OOIP) at its Little Creek field. The results are remarkable - Primary (~20%), Secondary (~18%) and Tertiary (~17%).  In addition to its EOR assets, DNR also is exposed to the Bakken and coal to liquids projects. 
 

Magnum Hunter's focus on unconventional plays is rewarding investors. In the oily Williston basin, MHR is in the Bakken/Three Forks as well as conventional Madison.  In Texas, MHR is in the oil window of the Eagle Ford.  In Appalachia, primary focus is liquids rich Marcellus with added exposure to Utica.  Unveiled recently are more details on the Weir sand play in Kentucky where a recent well (#6) is a standout with inclining production in the first 5 months -- now approaching 250 boe/d.


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featured.transactions from PLS global M&A database

DateHeadlineValue
03/15/12Crescent Point acquires remaining 87.2% stake in Reliable Energy$110 MM
03/13/12Chesapeake forms Ohio midstream partnership with EV EnergyNA
03/09/12Linn acquires mature Texas gas assets producing 24 MMcfe/d$175 MM
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Source: PLS M&A Database

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