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Week of February 27, 2012Volume 2, No. 11

Service Sector Looks Bright in 2012

Updates from Spears, BHI, HAL, RIG and WFT

Slide

Frac Horsepower Capacity

February 22, 2012

 

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Slide

Frac Prices Lower in 2012

February 22, 2012 
 

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Leading service sector consulting firm Spears & Associates has issued their 2012 Outlook with the main points being:

  • 1. Global Drilling in increase 10% in 2012 to a new record
  • 2. Oilfield Spending increases 11% in 2012 to a new record
  • 3. Frac Spending increases 20% in 2012 to a new record
  • 4. Frac Costs in 2012 decrease

On point number 4, the slide to the left above shows the tremendous build of fracking horsepower (i.e. increased capacity) which has more than doubled since 2009.  According to Spears, as shown on the right slide above, this new capacity is expect to result in a lower cost of fracking to the industry -- good news for those drilling wells in resource plays.  

In 2011, pressure pumping grew to the largest portion of oilfield service spending to over $40 billion, up from ~ $25 billion in 2010.  Until last year, offshore drilling constituted the largest portion of the oilfield markets with offshore construction consistently second.


Below we feature recent slides from other oilfield titans Baker Hughes, Transocean, Halliburton, and Weatherford.



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featured.slides from docFinder

Slide Slide Slide Slide

BHI: Pressure Pumping


February 15, 2012


RIG:  Strong Visibility


February 07, 2012


HAL: Intl. Shales


February 07, 2012

WFT: Service Costs


December 6, 2011


Baker Hughes also presents North American pressure pumping outlook.  BHI expects its pricing power to remain soft in gas basins but overall flat in oil / liquids rich basins (following a decline in pricing power over last 12 months).  The short term softness in pricing may persist due to a increasing shift from gas to oil.  Longer term, constraining growth in oil basins could be rigs and mid-stream takeaway.

 

Transocean is the world's largest offshore drilling contractor with 140 drilling units (including 6 currently under construction). With strong visibility, RIG currently has $23.5 billion of contract revenue backlog, $8.4 billion which is in 2012. Revenues are diversified with 35% from IOC's, 35% from NOC's and 30% from Independents.  RIG's ultra-deepwater fleet is a core strength of the company.

Halliburton expects unconventional activity in international shales, tight gas and CBM projects to be a dominant market driver for the upcoming cycle. The slide above clearly shows China as a huge player with 1,275 Tcf of potential (vs. 862 Tcf in the U.S.).  HAL's recent fracturing work internationally includes China, Argentina, Mexico and Poland.  HAL's expertise is being exported globally with new teams built locally.

Weatherford's core production  business falls under two lines : Artificial lift systems and Production optimization. Currently, there are 350,000 wells on WFT's system, including NOC's and the top 75% of U.S. liquid producers. The slide above shows global production growing at a CAGR of 1.8% since 2000. In the same time frame, upstream spending has increased at a CAGR of 11%. Concluding, inelasticity of production.

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featured.transactions from PLS global M&A database

DateHeadlineValue
02/27/12Lufkin Industries acquires Zenith Oilfield Technology: Well Serrvices$126.6 MM
02/27/12TransAtlantic Petroleum to sell Viking oilfield services business$164.0 MM
02/22/12Seacor Marine buys 18 lift boats currently in GoM from Superior Energy$134.0 MM
02/20/12URS Corp. acquires Canada-based Flint Energy Services$1,128.4 MM

Source: PLS M&A Database

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