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Week of January 30, 2012Volume 2, No. 5

Early Reports : Year End 2011 Proved Reserves

Analysts gearing for the Annual Scorecard

Slide

Marathon Oil

212% Reserve Replacement

February 1, 2012


Full Presentation

Slide

Bill Barrett Corp

331% Reserve Replacement

January 24, 2012


Full Presentation

 

Benchmark Pricing for SEC Year-End Reserve Reporting

(Courtesy of Ryder Scott Co. LP.)

2009 2010 2011
WTI Cushing Oil Spot ($/bbl) $61.18 $79.43 $96.19
Europe Brent Oil Spot ($/bbl) $59.73 $78.96 $111.04
Henry Hub Gas Cash Market ($/MMBtu) $3.87 $4.38 $4.12
AECO C Gas Cash Market (US$/MMBtu) $3.41 $3.78 $3.77

 

PLS presents the table above to provide a framework as you digest the incoming year-end reserve reports. We note, for SEC reporting purposes, natural gas prices were only down 6% YOY -- a factor to keep in mind as the results stream in, particularly in light of the early 2012 downtrend of gas prices. The annual reserve reporting provides both an "official scorecard" of corporate performance as well as insight into macro supply and cost  issues for future oil and gas production.  

 

PLS' docFinder database helps you capture and analyze these results.

 

Shown above are slides from Marathon Oil and  Bill Barrett Corp.  For Marathon, all-in reserve replacement ratios scores an impressive 212%.  Organically (excluding acquisitions), the number is 137% with liquids and synthetic crude driving the numbers higher.  Of note is the 77% organic reserve replacement rate on natural gas.  On a volume basis, Marathon's reserves grew 9.9% YOY to 1.8 billion boe and its PD % grew from 75% to 78%.  For Bill Barrett Corp., all-in reserve replacement ratios scores also an impressive 331%. Organically, the number is 239%.  On a volume basis, Bill Barrett's reserves grew 22% YOY to 1.365 Tcfe and its PD % grew from 48% to 51%.  On a SEC PV 10 basis, proved reserve value grew from $1.5 billion to $2.1 billion.

 

Below, are additional presentations of early reserve reports from Vanguard, Magnum Hunter, McMoRan Oil & Gas, and Rex Energy.

 

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featured.slides from docFinder

Slide Slide Slide Slide

Vanguard + ENP


January 21, 2012

Magnum Hunter


January 10, 2012

McMoRan Oil & Gas


January 17, 2012

Rex Energy


January 30, 2012

Vanguard Natural Resources has an EV of $2.185 billion as of January 18 .  VNR 2011 year-end reserves, prepared by D&M  and pro-forma for the recent significant acquisition of Encore Energy Partners (ENP), total 79.3 MMboe. The numbers stand at 82% PDP, 15 year R/P and 66% liquids.  The Permian and Gulf Coast regions hold 39% of the reserves with the Big Horn basin following with 26%.


Full Presentation


docFinder allows to follow major company developments... 

Magnum Hunter is active is some of the top U.S. resource plays with proved reserves in the Marcellus (66%) , Williston Basin (20%), and liquids-rich Eagle Ford  (14%). At year-end 2011 (based on a $96.19/bbl and $4.11/MMbtu price decks), proved reserves increased an impressive 44% in 6 months from mid-year reports. The current tally totals 44.9 MMboe (48% liquids, 46% PDP).


Full Presentation


docFinder allows you to search key performance indicators...

Excluding its sub-salt GOM Shelf/Gulf coast efforts, MMR's preliminary YE 2011 reserves (total 256 Bcfe (28% PDP, 3% PDSI, 54% PDNP and 15% PUD, SEC PV10 $829MM). More importantly, however, MMR's potential net resources (subject to assumptions disclosed in the presentation) identified to date from drilling results is 8.3 Tcfe -- over 3000% of booked reserves.


Full Presentation


docFinder allows you to track the impact of major discoveries.. 

Rex, active in the Applachia and Illinois basins, exited 2011 producing 54.6 MMcfe/d. At YE 2011, proved reserves total 366 Bcfe, up YOY from 202 Bcfe. Proved reserves have SEC PV10 of $540 MM, are 47% PDP, 75% natural gas and have grown at a 77% CAGR from 2008. Production has a 56% CAGR since 2009. Also important as a benchmark, Rex booked 1.27 PUD to 1 PDP in the Marcellus.


Full Presentation


docFinder allows you to find benchmarks in key oil and gas plays... 

featured.transactions from PLS global M&A database

DateHeadlineValue
02/01/12SandRidge pays $51,000 boe/d in purchase of Dynamic Offshore$1,275 MM
01/31/12Private Grizzly Oil Sands buys May River oil sands project from Petrobank$224 MM
01/30/12Centrica Plc buys 15.17% interest in Statfjord field, Norway North Sea from COP$223 MM
01/25/12Weir Group Plc buys Dallas-based pump valves manufacturer Novatech$176 MM

Source: PLS M&A Database

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