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Week of January 16, 2012Volume 2, No. 3

Six Super Majors - soon to be Five

Rankings based on Enterprise Value

Slide

Exxon Mobil

Number One

October 27, 2011


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Royal Dutch Shell

Number Two

October 27, 2011


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This week we take a look at the six top Super Majors - soon to be five as ConocoPhillips' scheduled spinoff will split it into an E&P and a Downstream company in Q2 of this year.

When ranked by Enterprise Value, ExxonMobil leads the group by a wide margin, coming in at over $400 billion.  Focusing on just the upstream division of the business, XOM produced 4.3 MMboe/d in 3Q 2011.  To put this in perspective, this is roughly 8X the daily production of Occidental, the largest of the Super Independents highlighted last week.

Above are slides from the top two Super Majors -- ExxonMobil and Royal Dutch Shell.  Below are slides from the next four: Chevron, BP, Total and ConocoPhillips.  The table below shows size, leverage and dividend yields as of January 16, 2012. 

Top Six Super Majors

CompanyMarket Cap
($B)
Enterprise Value
($B)
Debt/Cap
(%)
Yield
(%)
ExxonMobil$407$4199%2.1%
Shell$220$24119%4.9%
Chevron$211$2017%2.8%
BP$139$16631%3.8%
Total$113$13015%7.7%
ConocoPhillips$93$11616%3.6%
Enterprise Value as of Jan 16, 2012.  Debt/Cap based on 3Q 2011.

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featured.slides from docFinder

Slide Slide Slide Slide

Chevron, #3


October 28, 2011

BP, #4


October 25, 2011

Total, #5


September 26, 2011

ConocoPhillips, #6


October 26, 2011

Chevron has an Enterprise Value of $202 billion and production of 2.6 MMboe/d in 3Q 2011. In 3Q 2011, Chevron earned $7.8 billion ($6.2 billion from Upstream), increased its dividend 3.8% and repurchased $1.25 billion of stock. Looking forward, Chevron expects ~1% CAGR in production through 2014 before ramping up to a 4-5% level through 2017.

BP has an Enterprise Value of $166 billion.  In 3Q 2011, BP had a replacement cost profit of $5.3 billion versus $5.5 billion in the year ago period. E&P results improved in the period despite production declining 12%.  For the quarter, BP added $4.5 billion cash raising the cash balance to $18 billion.  Looking forward, BP plans $15 billion in additional asset sales by 2013.

Total has an Enterprise Value of $130 billion. The slide above is from Total's 2011 Investor Day -- entitled "New Dynamic, Near term growth and financial strength".  In the presentation, Total upgraded its Upstream production growth to 2.5%/year through 2015 (based on $100/bbl Brent). Fueling growth is exploration plus acquisitions of 3.4 Bboe.

ConocoPhillips has an Enterprise Value of $116 billion and production of 1.5 MMboe/d in 3Q 2011. COP is on track to split into an E&P and Downstream company scheduled for 2Q 2012. As a standalone E&P, Conoco's 1.5 MMboe/d will vault the company to #1 Super Independent, eclipsing Occidental Petroleum who produced 743 Mboe/d in 3Q 2011. 

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featured.transactions from PLS global M&A database

DateHeadlineValue
01/16/12Pembina Pipeline acquires Provident Energy - Canana Midstream$3,742 MM
01/12/12Petro Harvester acquires Mississippi/Louisiana fields from Denbury$155 MM
01/11/12Shell acquires China gas block from Ivanhoe Energy$160 MM
01/09/12Teck Resources acquires SilverBirch Energy in Canada$416 MM

Source: PLS M&A Database

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